Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.655243e-07 1.264924e-06 2.185665e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.812967e-07 7.806605e-07 1.764673e-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.326353e-07 5.349628e-07 1.528543e-06 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.434777e-08 3.823199e-07 1.354810e-06 0.000004 0.000009 0.000018 0.000035
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.939206e-08 2.707166e-07 1.189575e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.267434e-08 1.927552e-07 1.049994e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.361954e-09 1.280825e-07 8.871412e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000027 0.000060
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.474289e-09 9.105334e-08 7.902811e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000031 0.000070
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.945563e-10 6.391513e-08 7.024641e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000079
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.601490e-11 4.134654e-08 5.991816e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000036 0.000088
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.349376e-12 3.204132e-08 5.725042e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000041 0.000100
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.171292e-13 2.701183e-08 5.739801e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000116
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.667872e-08 5.081127e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000052 0.000134
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.759887e-09 4.442142e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000058 0.000151
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.138635e-09 4.080128e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000064 0.000173
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.737708e-09 3.743138e-07 0.000004 0.000022 0.000071 0.000195
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.035894e-09 3.342052e-07 0.000004 0.000023 0.000078 0.000217
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.027397e-09 2.969680e-07 0.000004 0.000024 0.000084 0.000239
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.797001e-10 2.474880e-07 0.000004 0.000025 0.000089 0.000258
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.503009e-10 2.193804e-07 0.000004 0.000026 0.000096 0.000282
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.791249e-11 1.929427e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000102 0.000306
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.627824e-12 1.601659e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000107 0.000326
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.111812e-12 1.534971e-07 0.000004 0.000029 0.000117 0.000359